Jarred28
0xa693bb352d7549983c12218f34412ef9bb3eb7e4
- Realised P&L
- $-3.67
- Volume
- $1.0k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $3.11
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bengals vs. Texans · Texans | 0.590 | 0.575 | $1.95 | −$0.05 |
| Lions vs. Bills · Bills | 0.670 | 0.775 | $1.16 | +$0.16 |
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $115 in September? · Yes | 0.989 | 0.002 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| 49ers vs. Rams · Rams | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Patriots vs. Seahawks · Patriots | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.46at 0.582Broncos vs. Chiefs
- +$0.86at 0.542Bills vs. Texans
- +$-0.20at 0.629Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $188 in August?
- +$-0.40at 0.952Will gas hit $4.20 (High) by September 30?
- +$-1.05at 0.001Will "Don't Say Good Luck" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 22:14 | Bengals vs. Texans | BUY | 0.5899999145 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 22:11 | Lions vs. Bills | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 04:20 | Broncos vs. Chiefs | BUY | 0.5699998883 | $1.99 |
| 09-12 01:38 | Bills vs. Texans | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 13:07 | 49ers vs. Rams | BUY | 0.65 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 13:05 | Patriots vs. Seahawks | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 19:50 | Will gas hit $4.20 (High) by September 30? | SELL | 0.58 | $0.61 |
| 09-01 16:33 | Will "Don't Say Good Luck" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 04:05 | Will gas hit $4.20 (High) by September 30? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 17:26 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $328 in August? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.50 |
| 08-30 04:42 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $188 in August? | SELL | 0.55 | $1.28 |
| 08-30 02:35 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $188 in August? | BUY | 0.6199998546 | $1.45 |
| 08-29 02:05 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $115 in September? | BUY | 0.9889993384 | $1.00 |