PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

treadshuffle

0xa689e22f7a29efb68a60adcae375201207da4cf5

Realised P&L
$-802.06
Volume
$70.1k
Markets traded
88
Open portfolio
$33.61

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded88
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 18:11Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.627$6.27
10-27 18:11Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.006$5.40
10-27 18:10Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.022$5.50
10-27 18:05Will Mohsen Araki be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.002$6.00
10-27 18:03Will the Memphis Grizzlies be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion?SELL0.011$3.46
10-25 22:06Will Portuguesa FC win on 2026-10-25?BUY0.09$1.80
10-25 21:06Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup?BUY0.001$0.82
10-20 05:27Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 100 and 120 million views on week 1?BUY0.001$0.99
10-20 02:09Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 100 and 120 million views on week 1?BUY0.001$2.40
10-19 13:41Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?BUY0.018$0.13
10-19 13:31Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?BUY0.006$0.85
10-19 13:14Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?BUY0.005$3.50
03-08 01:33Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ETBUY0.09$5.28
03-08 01:24Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ETBUY0.3050550738$12.72
03-07 12:55Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?BUY0.021$0.22