treadshuffle
0xa689e22f7a29efb68a60adcae375201207da4cf5
- Realised P&L
- $-802.06
- Volume
- $70.1k
- Markets traded
- 88
- Open portfolio
- $33.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded88
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$103.17at 0.030Will Gukesh Dommaraju win Game 14 of the World Chess Championship?
- +$85.09at 0.207Will Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 WSOP Main Event?
- +$54.95at 0.070Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
- +$44.52at 0.150US military action against Iran by Monday?
- +$19.62at 0.808Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 18:11 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.627 | $6.27 |
| 10-27 18:11 | Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.006 | $5.40 |
| 10-27 18:10 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.022 | $5.50 |
| 10-27 18:05 | Will Mohsen Araki be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $6.00 |
| 10-27 18:03 | Will the Memphis Grizzlies be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion? | SELL | 0.011 | $3.46 |
| 10-25 22:06 | Will Portuguesa FC win on 2026-10-25? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 10-25 21:06 | Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.82 |
| 10-20 05:27 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 100 and 120 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.99 |
| 10-20 02:09 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 100 and 120 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.40 |
| 10-19 13:41 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.018 | $0.13 |
| 10-19 13:31 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.006 | $0.85 |
| 10-19 13:14 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.005 | $3.50 |
| 03-08 01:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET | BUY | 0.09 | $5.28 |
| 03-08 01:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | BUY | 0.3050550738 | $12.72 |
| 03-07 12:55 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.021 | $0.22 |