0xa688a74985004d19405fe6e4f2ae9eb3342eef3d
0xa688a74985004d19405fe6e4f2ae9eb3342eef3d
- Realised P&L
- $-4.78
- Volume
- $504.25
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $5.01
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration77.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw? · Yes | 0.998 | 1.000 | $5.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Gambia win on 2026-10-04? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.34at 0.779Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?
- +$0.33at 0.759Giants vs. Rams
- +$0.07at 0.967Chiefs vs. Dolphins
- +$-0.21at 1.016Cardinals vs. 49ers
- +$-2.08at 0.593Raiders vs. Saints
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 14:24 | Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 14:22 | Will Gambia win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 14:21 | Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.0045045045 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 22:16 | Raiders vs. Saints | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $2.00 |
| 09-27 22:11 | Cardinals vs. 49ers | SELL | 0.97 | $2.38 |
| 09-27 22:03 | Cardinals vs. 49ers | BUY | 0.9769999976 | $2.40 |
| 09-27 19:21 | Chiefs vs. Dolphins | BUY | 0.9299999814 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 23:54 | Giants vs. Rams | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 18:45 | Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorer | BUY | 0.96 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 18:43 | Amine Gouiri: Anytime Goalscorer | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 01:52 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.7399999671 | $4.50 |