0xa68286d52639c03444898ed4C7E2E75113F32303-1768354830386
0xa68286d52639c03444898ed4c7e2e75113f32303
- Realised P&L
- $-9.9k
- Volume
- $374.9k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $17.23
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration84.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$809.10at 0.100Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 12?
- +$92.24at 0.545Will Powell say "Dollar" 2+ times during March press conference?
- +$33.99at 0.190Government shutdown on Saturday?
- +$20.00at 0.200Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 12?
- +$3.00at 0.110Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-28 01:42 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0218862957 | $153.20 |
| 03-25 20:58 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | SELL | 0.007 | $30.10 |
| 03-17 00:04 | Will Iran strike Israel on March 10? | BUY | 0.001 | $22.54 |
| 03-17 00:03 | Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $21.10 |
| 03-16 17:35 | Will Iran strike Israel on March 10? | BUY | 0.002 | $24.00 |
| 03-16 17:35 | Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $26.00 |
| 03-16 17:26 | Will Iran strike Israel on March 10? | BUY | 0.002 | $8.00 |
| 03-15 02:43 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | BUY | 0.057 | $142.50 |
| 03-14 13:44 | Bank of England increases interest rates after March 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.006 | $2.93 |
| 03-14 13:16 | Bank of England increases interest rates after March 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.00629054 | $3.15 |
| 03-13 04:41 | Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026? | BUY | 0.2548546046 | $105.00 |
| 03-11 21:53 | Bank of England increases interest rates after March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.62 |
| 03-11 21:52 | Will Powell say "Dollar" 2+ times during March press conference? | SELL | 0.494 | $49.40 |
| 03-11 15:46 | Will Powell say "Dollar" 2+ times during March press conference? | BUY | 0.56 | $93.52 |
| 03-11 15:21 | Will Powell say "Dollar" 2+ times during March press conference? | BUY | 0.5354439592 | $22.07 |