rfrgui76
0xa68079392114e225ade2218af8841ba9d651fd8d
- Realised P&L
- $-15.56
- Volume
- $7.7k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $0.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over $250k committed to the over.computer public sale? · Yes | 0.990 | 0.873 | $0.89 | −$0.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.49at 0.790AOC pregnant in 2024?
- +$0.49at 0.988Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?
- +$0.19at 0.991Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$0.18at 0.850Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce break up in 2024?
- +$0.15at 0.951GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 06:48 | Over $250k committed to the over.computer public sale? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 06:48 | Over $250k committed to the over.computer public sale? | SELL | 0.951 | $0.95 |
| 10-29 06:48 | Over $250k committed to the over.computer public sale? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 06:47 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.9890678083 | $301.50 |
| 10-29 06:46 | Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.995 | $49.95 |
| 10-29 06:46 | Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.994 | $49.95 |
| 10-28 06:39 | Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.998 | $50.00 |
| 10-28 06:39 | Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.9915392 | $49.58 |
| 10-28 06:39 | Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.9979002096 | $50.00 |
| 10-28 06:38 | Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.995 | $50.00 |
| 10-28 06:37 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.992 | $300.00 |
| 10-28 06:37 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.9895993667 | $296.88 |
| 10-28 06:36 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.992 | $300.00 |
| 05-04 08:03 | Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $64.93 |
| 05-04 08:03 | Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $59.94 |