mammc
0xa67f4fdc96f1eaef75c220a2a9e6cf62dc133c3d
- Realised P&L
- $260.64
- Volume
- $94.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,671
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,671
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration34.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C or below on November 3? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $541.30 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 1°C or below on November 2? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $299.85 | +$0.15 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 1°C or below on November 3? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $161.93 | +$0.08 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on April 25? · Yes | 0.311 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or higher on March 27? · No | 0.940 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.68 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.33at 0.943Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 22?
- +$15.59at 0.948Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 9°C on March 20?
- +$8.63at 0.983Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on September 25?
- +$7.65at 0.990Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C or below on June 30?
- +$4.40at 0.968Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on March 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:18 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 1°C or below on November 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $161.85 |
| 11-01 23:16 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C or below on November 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $541.30 |
| 10-31 23:42 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 1°C or below on November 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $299.70 |
| 10-30 23:25 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 2°C or below on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $487.11 |
| 10-30 23:24 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C or below on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $204.79 |
| 10-29 09:19 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on October 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $86.11 |
| 10-29 09:19 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C or below on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $174.82 |
| 10-29 09:18 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 3°C or below on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $134.87 |
| 10-29 06:52 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 4°C or below on October 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $245.77 |
| 10-28 23:05 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 4°C or below on October 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $359.74 |
| 10-27 23:29 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on October 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $78.12 |
| 10-27 23:28 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 5°C or below on October 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $216.99 |
| 10-26 23:17 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on October 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.44 |
| 10-26 23:17 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on October 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $135.31 |
| 10-26 23:16 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 12°C on October 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |