mammc
0xa67f4fdc96f1eaef75c220a2a9e6cf62dc133c3d
- Realised P&L
- $244.48
- Volume
- $57.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,413
- Open portfolio
- $453.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,413
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.33at 0.943Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 22?
- +$15.59at 0.948Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 9°C on March 20?
- +$8.09at 0.989Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C or below on June 30?
- +$4.40at 0.968Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on March 24?
- +$4.03at 0.930Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on March 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 10:03 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C or below on August 5? | BUY | 0.99876 | $4.99 |
| 08-04 07:39 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.997 | $19.94 |
| 08-04 07:38 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.998 | $49.90 |
| 08-04 07:38 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.998 | $49.90 |
| 08-04 07:37 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 28°C or higher on August 6? | BUY | 0.998 | $57.88 |
| 08-04 07:36 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C or below on August 6? | BUY | 0.998 | $96.03 |
| 08-04 07:36 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.995 | $9.95 |
| 08-04 07:36 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C or below on August 5? | BUY | 0.995 | $40.60 |
| 08-04 07:28 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C or below on August 4? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 08-04 07:28 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.998 | $49.90 |
| 08-04 07:27 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.998 | $19.96 |
| 08-04 07:26 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 08-04 07:25 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 08-04 07:25 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.19 |
| 08-04 07:02 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |