Aug78
0xa67f0de723bcec01b74ede5c61444785a467e165
- Realised P&L
- $-102.71
- Volume
- $4.1k
- Markets traded
- 92
- Open portfolio
- $188.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded92
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$59.28at 0.122Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
- +$43.04at 0.067Will John Stevens get second place in the Clacton by-election?
- +$32.58at 0.172Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?
- +$26.90at 0.349England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$18.09at 0.337Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 19:55 | Will the National Rally group hold fewer than 10 French Senate seats after the 2026 election? | BUY | 0.8099999756 | $14.94 |
| 09-15 06:58 | Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes? | SELL | 0.92 | $14.55 |
| 09-15 06:57 | Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.3809999878 | $8.00 |
| 09-14 22:19 | Will the National Rally group hold 13 or more French Senate seats after the 2026 election? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 20:28 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 09-14 20:26 | Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.699999965 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 21:46 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 21:42 | Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.86 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 21:39 | Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.92 | $9.20 |
| 09-08 07:44 | National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999905 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 19:58 | Will SER hold fewer than 56 French Senate seats after the 2026 election? | BUY | 0.0221076344 | $2.00 |
| 09-06 19:57 | Will Union Centriste hold fewer than 53 French Senate seats after the 2026 election? | BUY | 0.0303385512 | $3.00 |
| 09-06 18:39 | Will The Greens win the third most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.48 |
| 09-06 18:31 | Will The Greens win the third most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.2385678296 | $10.00 |
| 09-03 23:06 | Will the Republican Party win the MO-05 House seat? | BUY | 0.15 | $6.00 |