PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Aug78

0xa67f0de723bcec01b74ede5c61444785a467e165

Realised P&L
$-102.71
Volume
$4.1k
Markets traded
92
Open portfolio
$188.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded92
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.7470.675$32.30$3.45
Will the National Rally group hold fewer than 10 French Senate seats after the 2026 election? · No0.7950.855$26.81+$1.87
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.3790.305$25.93$6.27
National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026? · Yes0.8720.840$22.16$0.84
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes0.6900.585$17.55$3.15
Will the National Rally group hold 10 French Senate seats after the 2026 election? · No0.7600.720$14.21$0.79
Will the National Rally group hold 13 or more French Senate seats after the 2026 election? · Yes0.1780.155$12.65$1.92
Will the National Rally group hold 12 French Senate seats after the 2026 election? · Yes0.2000.235$11.75+$1.75
Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes? · Yes0.3810.230$4.83$3.17
Will SER hold fewer than 56 French Senate seats after the 2026 election? · Yes0.0220.053$4.79+$2.79
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1100.105$4.77$0.23
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.1540.018$3.08$24.09
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.1550.041$2.68$7.57
Will Union Centriste hold fewer than 53 French Senate seats after the 2026 election? · Yes0.0300.028$2.63$0.22
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1300.125$2.50$0.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 19:55Will the National Rally group hold fewer than 10 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?BUY0.8099999756$14.94
09-15 06:58Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?SELL0.92$14.55
09-15 06:57Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?BUY0.3809999878$8.00
09-14 22:19Will the National Rally group hold 13 or more French Senate seats after the 2026 election?BUY0.1699999983$2.00
09-14 20:28Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats?SELL0.001$0.10
09-14 20:26Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.699999965$2.00
09-13 21:46Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.16$5.00
09-13 21:42Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?BUY0.86$5.00
09-13 21:39Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?BUY0.92$9.20
09-08 07:44National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026?BUY0.7899999905$5.00
09-06 19:58Will SER hold fewer than 56 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?BUY0.0221076344$2.00
09-06 19:57Will Union Centriste hold fewer than 53 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?BUY0.0303385512$3.00
09-06 18:39Will The Greens win the third most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?BUY0.2$4.48
09-06 18:31Will The Greens win the third most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?BUY0.2385678296$10.00
09-03 23:06Will the Republican Party win the MO-05 House seat?BUY0.15$6.00