KristopherUbi
0xa67d7e433e4d897de5bf647ace8984ed3ad29a7d
- Realised P&L
- $-2.6k
- Volume
- $17.9k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $55.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-14.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-26 House seat? · Yes | 0.962 | 0.985 | $55.34 | +$1.26 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$378.93at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down on August 20?
- +$360.00at 0.500XRP Up or Down on August 12?
- +$255.77at 0.650Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Virtus.pro (BO3)
- +$165.00at 0.450Solana above $190 on December 27?
- +$95.69at 0.521Solana above $225 on December 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-16 13:32 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Virtus.pro (BO3) | BUY | 0.65 | $475.00 |
| 08-19 08:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 20? | BUY | 0.49 | $364.07 |
| 08-19 08:04 | Reds vs. Angels | SELL | 0.42 | $321.72 |
| 08-19 07:59 | Reds vs. Angels | BUY | 0.45 | $344.70 |
| 08-11 06:34 | XRP Up or Down on August 12? | BUY | 0.5 | $360.00 |
| 08-08 06:09 | Ethereum Up or Down on August 10? | BUY | 0.5 | $241.00 |
| 08-05 05:30 | Ethereum Up or Down on August 7? | BUY | 0.5 | $370.00 |
| 12-24 12:43 | Solana above $190 on December 27? | BUY | 0.45 | $135.00 |
| 12-17 14:04 | Solana above $225 on December 20? | BUY | 0.5208013442 | $104.00 |
| 12-02 14:41 | Ansem vs. Bitboy - Crypto Fight Night | BUY | 0.68 | $136.00 |
| 09-05 11:38 | Kamala positive favorability by Friday? | BUY | 0.499001996 | $50.00 |
| 08-02 08:39 | Biden nominated before Democratic convention? | BUY | 0.002299062 | $5.00 |
| 07-22 11:05 | Nic Carter vs. Coty Kuhn: Who will win? | BUY | 0.51 | $102.00 |
| 07-15 05:34 | Solana above $140 on July 19? | BUY | 0.8222065778 | $150.00 |
| 07-12 06:15 | Euro Finals: Spain vs. England | BUY | 0.41 | $41.00 |