Sgreg31
0xa6767e976797155e3d5df8c8414d653fdd894f29
- Realised P&L
- $-240.74
- Volume
- $13.6k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $16.30
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration42.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026? · Yes | 0.127 | 0.103 | $16.30 | −$3.70 |
| Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.072 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.50 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.273 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET · Up | 0.545 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Nikola Krstovic: Anytime Goalscorer · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.50 |
| Will Marcus Thuram score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.372 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.75 |
| Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.175 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$83.00 |
| Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton confirmed relationship by June 30? · Yes | 0.253 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$34.25 |
| Will Japan win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.351 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.20at 0.360Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?
- +$38.69at 0.278Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
- +$12.00at 0.400Will Djed Spence be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
- +$11.73at 0.810Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
- +$6.70at 0.330Will the announcers say "What a Save" during Netherlands vs Morocco?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-06 16:59 | Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026? | BUY | 0.1269999952 | $20.00 |
| 06-29 23:40 | Will the announcers say "West Ham" during Netherlands vs Morocco? | BUY | 0.4199999953 | $50.00 |
| 06-29 21:16 | Will the announcers say "West Ham" during Netherlands vs Morocco? | BUY | 0.4199998236 | $1.00 |
| 06-16 16:45 | Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | BUY | 0.8099999977 | $50.00 |
| 06-16 02:06 | Will Japan win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3639999713 | $7.00 |
| 06-08 22:30 | Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.001 | $5.55 |
| 06-07 15:54 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.997 | $53.65 |
| 06-06 15:03 | Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.0899999736 | $3.00 |
| 06-06 14:32 | Will Marcus Thuram score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 06-06 14:31 | Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.1699999759 | $5.00 |
| 06-06 11:25 | Will Marcus Thuram score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.37 | $18.50 |
| 06-06 11:20 | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.00 |
| 06-06 11:14 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.2780152388 | $14.96 |
| 06-05 13:01 | Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.1799999976 | $50.00 |
| 05-29 17:10 | World Cup game relocated away from Mexico? | SELL | 0.0300629117 | $8.12 |