PolyBot

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Traders

0xac8db3b4afea21b73ffdc92fjk

0xa67209aaa09ba891adb7d291310e49914472f083

Realised P&L
$-122.3k
Volume
$19.93M
Markets traded
393
Open portfolio
$42.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded393
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration98.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.4300.595$41.9k+$11.6k
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.6600.885$460.05+$116.96
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? · No0.4810.000$0.00$605.80
Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale? · Yes0.2750.000$0.00$4.9k
Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00$14.02
Over $200M committed to the Ranger public sale? · Yes0.0860.000$0.00$1.5k
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · No0.8330.000$0.00$8.3k
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00$251.98
Over $180M committed to the Ranger public sale? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$362.26
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? · Yes0.6600.000$0.00$940.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-08 00:31New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? BUY0.99$391.15
01-06 10:52Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?BUY0.93$17.7k
01-06 10:35Over $200M committed to the Ranger public sale?BUY0.0857397718$1.5k
01-06 10:23Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?BUY0.6753066667$12.2k
01-06 09:40Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?BUY0.6438744444$2.9k
01-06 09:35Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?BUY0.2754594828$4.9k
12-30 09:52Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?BUY0.65931524$1.6k
12-30 08:59Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?SELL0.94$9.1k
12-30 08:46Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?SELL0.91$207.67
12-30 07:11Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?BUY0.71$3.5k
12-30 07:10Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?BUY0.72$3.6k
12-30 05:45Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?BUY0.79$4.0k
12-30 04:48Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? BUY0.89092972$8.9k
12-30 02:25Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?BUY0.4809904644$605.80
12-29 04:26Bears vs. 49ersSELL0.4619829317$368.11