8Theodora-Snodgrass
0xa65cb5304f21236e5a16ae2ab0bcd56b7cab0df9
- Realised P&L
- $-199.48
- Volume
- $113.6k
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 14? · Yes | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.2k | +$1.09 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.186 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$827.65 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.204Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$224.76at 0.630UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
- +$150.36at 0.550Fed rate hike in 2026?
- +$24.00at 0.950Mezo FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- +$10.66at 0.990Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 07:56 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $670.33 |
| 10-14 07:55 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.998 | $499.00 |
| 10-12 03:54 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $173.79 |
| 10-12 03:53 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $33.93 |
| 10-12 03:53 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or below on October 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $43.92 |
| 10-12 03:43 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $214.78 |
| 10-12 03:43 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $687.17 |
| 09-23 10:55 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C or below on September 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $452.55 |
| 09-23 10:40 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $392.95 |
| 09-23 10:35 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C or below on September 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $321.61 |
| 09-21 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.2k |
| 09-19 07:33 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $834.16 |
| 09-18 07:42 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $225.12 |
| 09-18 07:42 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.998 | $190.62 |
| 09-18 07:42 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.997 | $14.96 |