PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xA656050b63396fe3031EF4d118fAFb6a873089b6-1780954161109

0xa656050b63396fe3031ef4d118fafb6a873089b6

Realised P&L
$-100.69
Volume
$3.9k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$2.58

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? · Yes0.0050.003$2.58$2.42
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-09? · Yes0.5700.000$0.00$13.00
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$4.00
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$4.00
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00$14.00
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$5.00
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? · No0.3230.000$0.00$17.00
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.8300.000$0.00$8.00
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$8.00
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$10.00
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$8.00
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 · B80.2000.000$0.00$5.00
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$5.00
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00$32.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-14 14:21Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.02$5.00
06-14 14:21Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?BUY0.04$5.00
06-14 14:17Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.143$4.73
06-13 19:21Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland?SELL0.19$4.22
06-13 19:20Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland?SELL0.14$4.00
06-13 18:51Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?BUY0.8299999834$8.00
06-13 18:44Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland?BUY0.1399999727$4.00
06-13 16:24Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland?BUY0.1799999649$4.00
06-13 16:24Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland?BUY0.129999975$4.00
06-13 01:24Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay?BUY0.1499999887$10.00
06-12 18:01Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.025$3.00
06-12 16:37Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?BUY0.129999987$8.00
06-12 16:37Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?BUY0.16$8.00
06-12 14:16Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.0309999941$5.00
06-12 12:19Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1509999779$5.00