gfrt
0xa64ecd81e22e88fdd708634b57d36696b06af7fb
- Realised P&L
- $-24.18
- Volume
- $8.6k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $0.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the WA-08 House seat? · Yes | 0.990 | 0.970 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.62at 0.670Will Florida legalize weed?
- +$2.45at 0.550Will Miami (OH) beat Colorado State by 3 or more points?
- +$0.89at 0.680Will the Republican candidate win North Carolina by 4.0% or more?
- +$0.33at 0.750Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 WM Phoenix Open?
- +$0.30at 0.870AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 08:07 | Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.996 | $400.79 |
| 06-22 08:07 | Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $199.80 |
| 06-22 08:06 | Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.99 | $199.39 |
| 06-20 05:14 | Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $200.00 |
| 06-20 05:13 | Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.993 | $200.00 |
| 06-20 05:12 | Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.997 | $400.00 |
| 06-20 05:12 | Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.996 | $398.40 |
| 06-20 05:12 | Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.997 | $400.00 |
| 04-30 06:10 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.996 | $205.41 |
| 04-30 06:09 | Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.993 | $199.79 |
| 04-30 06:09 | Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.992 | $199.79 |
| 04-29 07:30 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.997 | $205.00 |
| 04-29 07:30 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.996 | $204.18 |
| 04-29 07:29 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.997 | $205.00 |
| 04-29 07:29 | Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.994 | $200.00 |