0xA640381915595284Bfc42BC8b70b6d1D4147A6a7-1769168656641
0xa640381915595284bfc42bc8b70b6d1d4147a6a7
- Realised P&L
- $-19.71
- Volume
- $662.01
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $1.87
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.008 | $1.87 | −$8.13 |
| Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond? · Yes | 0.056 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET · Down | 0.321 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.91 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.40 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET · Up | 0.368 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.83 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET · Up | 0.268 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.84 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.50at 0.426Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
- +$2.65at 0.138Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 07:31 | Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.0427344866 | $10.00 |
| 08-29 10:50 | Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal? | SELL | 0.17 | $16.07 |
| 08-07 23:32 | Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal? | BUY | 0.1319999916 | $12.48 |
| 03-15 08:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 03-15 08:55 | Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.0559999896 | $5.00 |
| 02-18 12:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 02-13 07:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $0.99 |
| 02-13 07:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $0.98 |
| 02-13 07:42 | Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.289999979 | $9.40 |