PolyBot

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Traders

kamizake

0xa635379a20dd424d72f7d5b4c41bf9e1c95b0e91

Realised P&L
$-283.02
Volume
$16.9k
Markets traded
105
Open portfolio
$40.83

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded105
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8100.959$19.18+$2.98
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Israel by December 31? · No0.9400.968$14.52+$0.42
Will Abdul El-Sayed run 0 to 3 points behind Jocelyn Benson? · Yes0.2600.255$3.83−$0.07
Will Trump say "Peach" or "Pecan" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia? · Yes0.1600.330$3.30+$1.70
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs · Team Falcons0.4000.000$0.00−$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 02:08Will Trump say "Peach" or "Pecan" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?BUY0.16$1.60
10-14 05:09Will Abdul El-Sayed run 0 to 3 points behind Jocelyn Benson?BUY0.26$3.90
10-14 03:05Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Israel by December 31?BUY0.94$14.10
05-17 08:19Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana PlayoffsBUY0.4$20.00
03-16 03:05ChatGPT Outage by March 15?SELL0.0075586667$0.23
03-03 14:15Will another country strike Iran by March 31?SELL0.08111$1.62
03-03 13:13Will Iran strike one country in March?SELL0.001$0.10
03-03 12:52Will Trump visit China by March 31?BUY0.546$2.73
03-03 00:33Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.81$16.20
03-01 13:08Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1BUY0.46$4.60
03-01 09:48Will Iran strike Israel on March 1?BUY0.088$1.06
03-01 09:15Will Iran strike seven countries in March?BUY0.79$15.80
03-01 09:13Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETSELL0.93$6.12
03-01 09:01Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETBUY0.4485049605$2.91
03-01 04:40Will another country strike Iran by March 31?BUY0.54$10.80