0xa6292a224f94028cf21da5cfdb9de95c603d34bd
0xa6292a224f94028cf21da5cfdb9de95c603d34bd
- Realised P&L
- $2.20
- Volume
- $196.16
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $3.98
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.210 | 0.405 | $1.93 | +$0.93 |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $192 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.750 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 7? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.715 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.94at 0.237Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$4.43at 0.258Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $316 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$2.99at 0.339SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 20?
- +$2.73at 0.359Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$1.89at 0.446Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of August 17 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 17:36 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $192 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:04 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 11:43 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 7? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 14:11 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 05:55 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $517.50 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 11:51 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 03:49 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 17:21 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 06:59 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 22:55 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 02:39 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $700 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 18:39 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% in September? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 09:25 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $80 in September? | BUY | 0.7299994744 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 22:42 | Will BlackBerry say "Tailwind" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.5299999538 | $1.49 |
| 09-23 14:37 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999742 | $1.49 |