fr5wkuusik5874
0xa626b3a2054b5ada7ccca563fc0ee9e0accdaa07
- Realised P&L
- $3.73
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $202.57
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration34.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-38 House seat? · No | 0.961 | 0.995 | $99.83 | +$3.41 |
| Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series? · No | 0.970 | 0.787 | $78.70 | −$18.30 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · No | 0.952 | 0.962 | $24.04 | +$0.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.27at 0.94910.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
- +$0.56at 0.984Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
- +$0.46at 0.969Will Nansen launch a token by June 30, 2026?
- +$0.41at 0.989Will Lorenzo Musetti be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
- +$0.40at 0.980Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-16 11:59 | Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $19.60 |