0xA626416419449C566AB4387715A186bd35996778-1777294702772
0xa626416419449c566ab4387715a186bd35996778
- Realised P&L
- $-27.47
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $29.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 3? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.986 | $29.10 | +$1.93 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.37at 0.730Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 11?
- +$4.20at 0.625Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 6?
- +$3.22at 0.779Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 29?
- +$2.76at 0.980Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 13?
- +$2.23at 0.914Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 00:22 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.92 | $27.17 |
| 10-02 19:32 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 3? | SELL | 0.998 | $27.29 |
| 10-02 19:00 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.98 | $26.80 |
| 10-02 16:40 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 2? | SELL | 0.997 | $26.83 |
| 10-02 12:59 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.909999997 | $24.49 |
| 10-02 11:54 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 2? | SELL | 0.967 | $24.64 |
| 10-01 16:20 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.92 | $23.45 |
| 10-01 16:19 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.99 | $23.56 |
| 09-30 02:37 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.9299999849 | $22.14 |
| 09-30 02:36 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 30? | SELL | 0.987 | $22.23 |
| 09-29 20:09 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $22.30 |
| 09-29 18:40 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 30? | SELL | 0.8879239303 | $22.41 |
| 09-28 10:58 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.7899999937 | $19.94 |
| 09-28 10:57 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 29? | SELL | 0.93 | $20.22 |
| 09-27 16:27 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.7699999908 | $16.74 |