PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xA626416419449C566AB4387715A186bd35996778-1777294702772

0xa626416419449c566ab4387715a186bd35996778

Realised P&L
$-27.47
Volume
$2.9k
Markets traded
60
Open portfolio
$29.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded60
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 3? · Yes0.9200.986$29.10+$1.93

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 00:22Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 3?BUY0.92$27.17
10-02 19:32Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 3?SELL0.998$27.29
10-02 19:00Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 3?BUY0.98$26.80
10-02 16:40Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 2?SELL0.997$26.83
10-02 12:59Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 2?BUY0.909999997$24.49
10-02 11:54Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 2?SELL0.967$24.64
10-01 16:20Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 2?BUY0.92$23.45
10-01 16:19Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 1?SELL0.99$23.56
09-30 02:37Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 1?BUY0.9299999849$22.14
09-30 02:36Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 30?SELL0.987$22.23
09-29 20:09Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 30?BUY0.99$22.30
09-29 18:40Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 30?SELL0.8879239303$22.41
09-28 10:58Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 30?BUY0.7899999937$19.94
09-28 10:57Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 29?SELL0.93$20.22
09-27 16:27Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 29?BUY0.7699999908$16.74