Penguinchik
0xa62373e4098417a42d666da61338dcc69e0fa4fe
- Realised P&L
- $41.0k
- Volume
- $5.45M
- Markets traded
- 7,273
- Open portfolio
- $2.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,273
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner · Team Liquid | 0.568 | 0.505 | $734.51 | −$92.14 |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner · Team Liquid | 0.569 | 0.505 | $731.92 | −$92.77 |
| Valorant: Cloud9 vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega · Cloud9 | 0.740 | 1.000 | $524.74 | +$136.24 |
| LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner · Sentinels | 0.387 | 0.540 | $422.84 | +$119.56 |
| LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner · LYON | 0.497 | 1.000 | $246.07 | +$123.59 |
| LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner · LYON | 0.870 | 1.000 | $235.72 | +$30.43 |
| LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner · Team Liquid | 0.571 | 0.460 | $117.30 | −$28.39 |
| LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner · Sentinels | 0.475 | 0.001 | $0.28 | −$263.06 |
| LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season · Fnatic | 0.341 | 0.001 | $0.12 | −$84.16 |
| LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner · Movistar KOI | 0.456 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$357.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.5kat 0.518LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
- +$2.1kat 0.523Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B
- +$2.1kat 0.490Dota 2: South America Rejects vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner
- +$2.1kat 0.529LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner
- +$1.9kat 0.338Trail Blazers vs. Suns
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:51 | LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.4864482902 | $45.76 |
| 08-02 22:48 | LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.43 | $95.46 |
| 08-02 22:48 | LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.41 | $91.02 |
| 08-02 22:46 | LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.59 | $130.98 |
| 08-02 22:42 | LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.2899999974 | $71.04 |
| 08-02 22:11 | LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.39 | $41.34 |
| 08-02 22:07 | LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.5299999985 | $119.88 |
| 08-02 22:06 | LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.46 | $102.12 |
| 08-02 22:02 | Valorant: Cloud9 vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega | BUY | 0.74 | $410.70 |
| 08-02 21:32 | Valorant: Cloud9 vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega | BUY | 0.38 | $11.40 |
| 08-02 21:21 | LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.88 | $9.94 |
| 08-02 21:18 | LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.87 | $195.36 |
| 08-02 20:36 | LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.45 | $4.50 |
| 08-02 20:36 | LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.5362871114 | $15.35 |
| 08-02 20:24 | LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.5 | $111.00 |