medica
0xa6236f73074c2572d0b6a495080c7c416cf57ecb
- Realised P&L
- $-98.08
- Volume
- $171.6k
- Markets traded
- 373
- Open portfolio
- $121.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded373
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will TonalEnergy Tuner & Metronome be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 9? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $76.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will play_music_theory be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 9? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $44.98 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.37at 0.903Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-13?
- +$5.20at 0.658Spurs vs. Pelicans
- +$2.63at 0.982Lamar Cardinals vs. Southeastern Louisiana Lions
- +$1.94at 0.993Will FC Lorient win on 2026-04-18?
- +$1.92at 0.981Savannah: Michael Antonius vs Mitchell Krueger
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 16:21 | Will play_music_theory be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $45.00 |
| 10-08 16:21 | Will TonalEnergy Tuner & Metronome be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $77.00 |
| 10-06 02:38 | Will the price of XRP be less than $1.00 on October 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $122.00 |
| 10-06 02:33 | Timberwolves vs. Bucks | SELL | 0.999 | $122.10 |
| 10-06 02:30 | Timberwolves vs. Bucks | BUY | 0.99 | $121.00 |
| 10-03 06:04 | Will the price of XRP be less than $1.00 on October 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $120.00 |
| 09-30 15:05 | Will the price of XRP be less than $1.10 on October 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $120.00 |
| 09-29 19:22 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.9 | $107.10 |
| 09-29 19:09 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.91 | $109.20 |
| 09-27 14:54 | Will the price of XRP be less than $1.10 on September 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $119.00 |
| 09-26 19:40 | Colorado State vs. UTSA | BUY | 0.9989153461 | $118.00 |
| 09-25 08:28 | Will the price of Solana be greater than $160 on September 26? | BUY | 0.997 | $118.00 |
| 09-23 13:08 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $111.84 |
| 09-21 17:34 | Will "Crew Girl: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.998 | $50.00 |
| 09-21 17:33 | Will "The Gentlemen: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.998 | $60.00 |