0xa613588253daf25e668beec67f95a641e3962b70
0xa613588253daf25e668beec67f95a641e3962b70
- Realised P&L
- $-1.96
- Volume
- $88.76
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $5.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.415 | $1.60 | +$0.60 |
| Trump renames AI by September 30? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.390 | $1.39 | +$0.39 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? · No | 0.750 | 0.815 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $182.50 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.385 | $0.75 | −$0.24 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.200 | $0.34 | −$0.66 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.08at 0.400Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August?
- +$2.13at 0.490Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$1.74at 0.540Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference?
- +$1.67at 0.550Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
- +$1.39at 0.590US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 05:11 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $182.50 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:11 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 10:05 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 01:58 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:35 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 15:54 | Will Costco say "Dividend" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 19:04 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7329999894 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 10:52 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 02:13 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $190 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 03:59 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.59999994 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 23:13 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $181 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4099999816 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 04:38 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.6299999181 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 08:14 | Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 00:12 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4799999616 | $2.00 |
| 09-10 03:09 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10? | BUY | 0.6499999025 | $2.00 |