0xA5FC7629C1c795794AF7a667Ae4a37390fE54152-1780109577583
0xa5fc7629c1c795794af7a667ae4a37390fe54152
- Realised P&L
- $-24.01
- Volume
- $254.26
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $1.27
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump on $250 bill this year? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.025 | $1.27 | −$3.73 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15? · No | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| No one announced as next James Bond? · No | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET · Up | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET · Up | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.71at 0.666Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
- +$1.94at 0.724Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
- +$-1.04at 0.294Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
- +$-5.46at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
- +$-10.35at 0.506Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-30 13:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET | SELL | 0.15 | $1.02 |
| 05-30 13:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET | BUY | 0.2799999179 | $1.91 |
| 05-30 13:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 05-30 13:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BUY | 0.4399999648 | $5.00 |
| 05-30 13:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET | BUY | 0.7099999702 | $5.00 |
| 05-30 13:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET | SELL | 0.26 | $5.15 |
| 05-30 13:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET | BUY | 0.4899999804 | $5.00 |
| 05-30 13:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999834 | $5.00 |
| 05-30 13:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $7.61 |
| 05-30 13:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.6499999675 | $5.00 |
| 05-30 13:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | SELL | 0.72 | $5.72 |
| 05-30 13:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.6299999811 | $5.00 |
| 05-30 13:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | SELL | 0.62 | $6.08 |
| 05-30 13:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 05-30 03:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |