fnv3wnc
0xa5f2348b4ae7c60d1dd8dd7494762de52cd7c000
- Realised P&L
- $632.06
- Volume
- $49.4k
- Markets traded
- 115
- Open portfolio
- $95.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded115
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 3? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.405 | $95.11 | +$55.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$107.30at 0.070Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 20?
- +$75.00at 0.173Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 5?
- +$64.87at 0.221Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 17?
- +$63.69at 0.094Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 20?
- +$63.20at 0.133Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 15:34 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.1703396146 | $40.00 |
| 10-02 15:31 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 2? | SELL | 0.996 | $51.14 |
| 10-02 15:14 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 3? | SELL | 0.4015221707 | $42.47 |
| 10-02 11:08 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.7789017481 | $40.00 |
| 10-02 10:54 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 3? | SELL | 0.11 | $10.93 |
| 10-02 10:24 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.1890801684 | $20.00 |
| 10-02 09:11 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.1006662272 | $10.00 |
| 10-02 09:10 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 2? | SELL | 0.998 | $139.13 |
| 10-02 03:27 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.8418646758 | $117.37 |
| 10-02 01:20 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 3? | SELL | 0.2187201195 | $43.92 |
| 10-01 23:28 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 2? | SELL | 0.073328974 | $12.34 |
| 10-01 14:32 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 2? | SELL | 0.0231032348 | $5.93 |
| 10-01 13:53 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.0364447212 | $2.00 |
| 10-01 11:23 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.2490039841 | $50.00 |
| 10-01 11:16 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.0297008464 | $6.00 |