PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fnv3wnc

0xa5f2348b4ae7c60d1dd8dd7494762de52cd7c000

Realised P&L
$632.06
Volume
$49.4k
Markets traded
115
Open portfolio
$95.11

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded115
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 3? · Yes0.1700.405$95.11+$55.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 15:34Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 3?BUY0.1703396146$40.00
10-02 15:31Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 2?SELL0.996$51.14
10-02 15:14Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 3?SELL0.4015221707$42.47
10-02 11:08Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 2?BUY0.7789017481$40.00
10-02 10:54Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 3?SELL0.11$10.93
10-02 10:24Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 3?BUY0.1890801684$20.00
10-02 09:11Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 3?BUY0.1006662272$10.00
10-02 09:10Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 2?SELL0.998$139.13
10-02 03:27Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 2?BUY0.8418646758$117.37
10-02 01:20Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 3?SELL0.2187201195$43.92
10-01 23:28Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 2?SELL0.073328974$12.34
10-01 14:32Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 2?SELL0.0231032348$5.93
10-01 13:53Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 2?BUY0.0364447212$2.00
10-01 11:23Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 3?BUY0.2490039841$50.00
10-01 11:16Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 2?BUY0.0297008464$6.00