0xa5e28a4cde7fe82bedcd30508c17982d8bf4d9f3
- Realised P&L
- $0.74
- Volume
- $30.91
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $6.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration43.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $367.50 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.320 | 0.620 | $1.94 | +$0.94 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.996 | $1.88 | +$0.88 |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.600 | $1.50 | +$0.50 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $160 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.680 | 0.680 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.465 | $0.60 | −$0.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.22at 0.450US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?
- +$0.36at 0.738SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 8?
- +$0.36at 0.738Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $189 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$0.32at 0.757Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $172 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$0.28at 0.780US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 22:19 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 13:40 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 05:38 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $367.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 21:37 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $160 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 15:33 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.7799995632 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 06:35 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 22:32 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $172 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 13:32 | Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 03:27 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 17:40 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 09:40 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $189 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.7299994744 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 01:37 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 16:23 | LAPTOP airdrop by September 9? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 06:40 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 8? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 16:16 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $1.00 |