PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xa5e28a4cde7fe82bedcd30508c17982d8bf4d9f3

Realised P&L
$0.74
Volume
$30.91
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$6.92

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration43.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $367.50 Week of September 14 2026? · No0.3200.620$1.94+$0.94
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · Yes0.5300.996$1.88+$0.88
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes0.4000.600$1.50+$0.50
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $160 Week of September 14 2026? · No0.6800.680$1.00+$0.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes0.7700.465$0.60$0.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 22:19Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.77$1.00
09-14 13:40Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.4$1.00
09-14 05:38Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $367.50 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.32$1.00
09-13 21:37Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $160 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
09-11 15:33US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?BUY0.7799995632$1.00
09-11 06:35SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 11?BUY0.3099999473$1.00
09-10 22:32Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $172 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.75$1.00
09-10 13:32Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?BUY0.29999994$1.00
09-10 03:27SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10?BUY0.649999805$1.00
09-09 17:40US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?BUY0.4499998425$1.00
09-09 09:40Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $189 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.7299994744$1.00
09-09 01:37Will Russia target Kyiv on September 11, 2026?BUY0.2699999784$1.00
09-08 16:23LAPTOP airdrop by September 9?BUY0.8$1.00
09-08 06:40SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 8?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
09-07 16:16US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.5299998781$1.00