0xa5dec705343fcab08fc354a9338898c8f01f1987
0xa5dec705343fcab08fc354a9338898c8f01f1987
- Realised P&L
- $146.88
- Volume
- $16.6k
- Markets traded
- 71
- Open portfolio
- $17.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded71
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.108 | 0.088 | $17.70 | −$3.90 |
| Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.001 | $0.15 | −$29.85 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.53 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$466.99at 0.066Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?
- +$267.23at 0.103Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Spain?
- +$241.78at 0.113Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Algeria?
- +$183.57at 0.126Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?
- +$134.46at 0.318Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 07:47 | Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.1 | $30.00 |
| 09-09 06:36 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.108 | $21.60 |
| 09-06 15:35 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 14:53 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.45 |
| 09-06 13:30 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.15 | $22.50 |
| 09-06 08:06 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.06 | $18.00 |
| 09-06 08:05 | Will Pierre Gasly win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.067 | $12.56 |
| 09-05 14:22 | Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.09 | $2.15 |
| 09-05 12:43 | Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.045 | $11.25 |
| 07-14 18:02 | Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain? | BUY | 0.07 | $5.88 |
| 07-14 18:01 | Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain? | BUY | 0.16 | $11.68 |
| 07-14 18:00 | Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain? | BUY | 0.11 | $22.99 |
| 07-12 00:36 | Enzo Fernández: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.13 | $16.51 |
| 07-12 00:35 | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.53 | $63.60 |
| 07-12 00:34 | Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland? | BUY | 0.14 | $24.50 |