PolyBot

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Traders

kubectl

0xa5de0554ea5c02e99e0a12febdea93bb9cc13ffc

Realised P&L
$-452.51
Volume
$15.0k
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$8.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? · Yes0.0900.075$8.25$1.65
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$2.52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$30.00
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00$13.00
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on October 31? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00$30.81
Will Powell say "Trump" during September press conference? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$25.00
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on September 30? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$4.00
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$12.74
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00$99.20
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? · Yes0.3740.000$0.00$179.60
Will Robinhood say "Silver" during earnings call? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$49.98
Will Alibaba have the best AI model on October 31? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$6.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET · Down0.1000.000$0.00$7.00
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yes0.1630.000$0.00$32.60
Starmer out by May 15, 2026? · Yes0.0510.000$0.00$10.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-09 10:29Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.025$12.74
05-19 06:31Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.31$99.20
05-19 06:12Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY0.053$10.60
05-12 22:55Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?BUY0.09$9.90
05-12 22:52Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? BUY0.021$2.52
05-12 22:42Starmer out by May 15, 2026?BUY0.051$10.20
05-12 05:53Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY0.12$48.00
02-27 14:46Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY0.003$0.56
02-25 12:35Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY0.037$1.85
02-07 10:00Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?BUY0.44$50.16
02-07 10:00US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?BUY0.47$50.29
10-04 06:04Will Anthropic have the best AI model on October 31?BUY0.03080766$30.81
09-15 20:18Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during September press conference?BUY0.037$3.70
09-15 20:17Will Powell say "Trump" during September press conference?BUY0.25$25.00
09-11 16:51Will Alibaba have the top AI model on September 30?BUY0.004$1.37