kubectl
0xa5de0554ea5c02e99e0a12febdea93bb9cc13ffc
- Realised P&L
- $-452.51
- Volume
- $15.0k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $8.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$115.80at 0.801Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
- +$100.00at 0.750Assad leaves Syria before 2025?
- +$85.21at 0.080Will Google have the top AI model on March 31?
- +$63.84at 0.440Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$29.96at 0.470US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-09 10:29 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.025 | $12.74 |
| 05-19 06:31 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.31 | $99.20 |
| 05-19 06:12 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY | 0.053 | $10.60 |
| 05-12 22:55 | Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? | BUY | 0.09 | $9.90 |
| 05-12 22:52 | Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? | BUY | 0.021 | $2.52 |
| 05-12 22:42 | Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.051 | $10.20 |
| 05-12 05:53 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY | 0.12 | $48.00 |
| 02-27 14:46 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.56 |
| 02-25 12:35 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | BUY | 0.037 | $1.85 |
| 02-07 10:00 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $50.16 |
| 02-07 10:00 | US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.47 | $50.29 |
| 10-04 06:04 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.03080766 | $30.81 |
| 09-15 20:18 | Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during September press conference? | BUY | 0.037 | $3.70 |
| 09-15 20:17 | Will Powell say "Trump" during September press conference? | BUY | 0.25 | $25.00 |
| 09-11 16:51 | Will Alibaba have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.37 |