Office Lover
0xa5c37f5f7dca565cecd5b5114006dff23a291f5f
- Realised P&L
- $-43.0k
- Volume
- $5.31M
- Markets traded
- 3,978
- Open portfolio
- $128.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,978
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will One Nation win the second-most seats in the next Victorian state election? · Yes | 0.139 | 0.224 | $71.65 | +$27.10 |
| Will One Nation win the most seats in the next Victorian state election? · Yes | 0.069 | 0.091 | $56.78 | +$13.63 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.3kat 0.167LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs
- +$4.5kat 0.100Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
- +$4.3kat 0.710LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
- +$4.2kat 0.718Bitcoin above $84,000 on March 7?
- +$3.6kat 0.350Will MrBeast x Ronaldo video get less than 50m views on day 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 04:17 | Will One Nation win the second-most seats in the next Victorian state election? | BUY | 0.1287997359 | $21.46 |
| 09-20 04:16 | Will One Nation win the most seats in the next Victorian state election? | BUY | 0.0691520178 | $43.15 |
| 08-19 20:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.65 | $129.90 |
| 08-19 20:09 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0584699023 | $701.66 |
| 08-19 20:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | BUY | 0.42 | $84.00 |
| 08-19 18:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | SELL | 0.093379 | $18.68 |
| 08-19 18:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET | BUY | 0.342 | $34.20 |
| 08-19 18:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | BUY | 0.585122 | $58.51 |
| 08-19 17:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | BUY | 0.2185905 | $87.44 |
| 08-19 17:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | SELL | 0.220719 | $44.14 |
| 08-19 16:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.4983573487 | $17.29 |
| 08-19 16:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | BUY | 0.295141 | $177.08 |
| 08-19 15:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET | BUY | 0.2952804545 | $106.02 |
| 08-19 15:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $395.96 |
| 08-19 15:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | SELL | 0.0595242778 | $35.71 |