0x52Ce320632282455E59cae14A0F14C9A5EF818d2-1767441524792
0xa5bea5d143a78fe25bf9c16d481601ffbf50a377
- Realised P&L
- $2.54
- Volume
- $864.44
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $9.15
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration86.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.555 | $4.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-09-25? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.645 | $2.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.419 | 0.051 | $1.22 | −$8.78 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.167 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.70 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-13? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-09-19? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.047 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will Norway win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.796 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$69.03at 0.086Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$5.28at 0.657Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
- +$2.42at 0.806Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$2.19at 0.696Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$1.08at 0.903Will Jannik Sinner advance to the Final in Gentlemen's Singles at Wimbledon 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 13:50 | Will Sweden win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.6499999458 | $3.00 |
| 09-23 13:49 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.5599999642 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 15:10 | Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 15:43 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.3099999857 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 01:18 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.598 | $60.84 |
| 09-09 05:48 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.24 | $5.45 |
| 09-05 13:06 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.4399999894 | $10.00 |
| 07-18 03:59 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.404 | $10.40 |
| 07-17 14:32 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.4189999835 | $10.00 |
| 07-16 14:01 | Will Norway win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.795999972 | $5.00 |
| 07-14 23:56 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.31 | $2.72 |
| 07-13 14:38 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3399999633 | $5.00 |
| 07-13 14:38 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5699999555 | $5.00 |
| 07-13 14:36 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.0825593735 | $10.00 |
| 07-13 14:36 | Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.0599999946 | $10.00 |