PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

daviesluo

0xa5be92725ba7aa1f6bbc3e26da5bf17c191f116c

Realised P&L
$-130.41
Volume
$1.4k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$153.09

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-9.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration74.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 15? · No0.9710.953$76.20−$1.47
Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026? · No0.4170.325$34.94−$9.91
Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 7, 2026? · Yes0.5820.675$17.55+$2.42
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6100.610$12.20+$0.00
Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026? · No0.3750.305$12.20−$2.80
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on March 31? · Yes0.7200.000$0.00−$20.00
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? · Yes0.6300.000$0.00−$18.28
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026? · No0.6300.000$0.00−$15.01
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on March 31? · No0.7900.000$0.00−$10.00
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00−$4.56
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? · Yes0.4600.000$0.00−$13.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-31 03:00SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?BUY0.3099999619$4.56
05-31 02:59SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?BUY0.4599999943$13.02
05-31 02:58SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?BUY0.6299999876$18.28
05-30 15:49Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.5299999988$13.67
05-30 15:46Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.529999959$5.69
03-16 21:34Will Trump visit China by March 31?SELL0.065$4.69
02-28 20:11Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL0.043$1.09
02-26 11:53Will NVIDIA reach $208 in February?BUY0.1799999617$3.20
02-26 11:52Will NVIDIA reach $208 in February?BUY0.1776303832$5.00
02-25 21:29Will NVIDIA reach $208 in February?BUY0.3299999812$10.00
02-25 21:29Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of February?BUY0.5$20.00
02-25 21:28Will NVIDIA reach $200 in February?BUY0.69$13.80
02-23 20:48NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on February 23?BUY0.98$35.00
02-23 18:03US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?BUY0.6099999756$5.00
02-23 16:14Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?BUY0.7199999856$10.00