daviesluo
0xa5be92725ba7aa1f6bbc3e26da5bf17c191f116c
- Realised P&L
- $-130.41
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $153.09
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 15? · No | 0.971 | 0.953 | $76.20 | −$1.47 |
| Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026? · No | 0.417 | 0.325 | $34.94 | −$9.91 |
| Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.582 | 0.675 | $17.55 | +$2.42 |
| Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.610 | $12.20 | +$0.00 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026? · No | 0.375 | 0.305 | $12.20 | −$2.80 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on March 31? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.28 |
| US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026? · No | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.01 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on March 31? · No | 0.790 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.56 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$71.08at 0.545Will Eileen Gu (CHN) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
- +$16.90at 0.537Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$3.89at 0.720Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?
- +$1.91at 0.786Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 February 16-22?
- +$1.05at 0.950Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on February 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-31 03:00 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? | BUY | 0.3099999619 | $4.56 |
| 05-31 02:59 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? | BUY | 0.4599999943 | $13.02 |
| 05-31 02:58 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | BUY | 0.6299999876 | $18.28 |
| 05-30 15:49 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.5299999988 | $13.67 |
| 05-30 15:46 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.529999959 | $5.69 |
| 03-16 21:34 | Will Trump visit China by March 31? | SELL | 0.065 | $4.69 |
| 02-28 20:11 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.043 | $1.09 |
| 02-26 11:53 | Will NVIDIA reach $208 in February? | BUY | 0.1799999617 | $3.20 |
| 02-26 11:52 | Will NVIDIA reach $208 in February? | BUY | 0.1776303832 | $5.00 |
| 02-25 21:29 | Will NVIDIA reach $208 in February? | BUY | 0.3299999812 | $10.00 |
| 02-25 21:29 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of February? | BUY | 0.5 | $20.00 |
| 02-25 21:28 | Will NVIDIA reach $200 in February? | BUY | 0.69 | $13.80 |
| 02-23 20:48 | NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on February 23? | BUY | 0.98 | $35.00 |
| 02-23 18:03 | US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099999756 | $5.00 |
| 02-23 16:14 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31? | BUY | 0.7199999856 | $10.00 |