0x9d67f1dB54cd2E770D21a9404BB7167cD7dc0138-1760874967730
0xa5bd8c68d28760a38697490df1807ed8e880477e
- Realised P&L
- $57.13
- Volume
- $3.9k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $144.08
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration97.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will América win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? · Yes | 0.231 | 0.185 | $144.08 | −$35.84 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.105 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.11 |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$37.68 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.067 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$149.52at 0.117Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$3.25at 0.756Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
- +$-6.35at 0.550Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-24 20:15 | Will América win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? | BUY | 0.2310260397 | $179.92 |
| 07-19 18:55 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.584 | $192.19 |
| 06-30 12:52 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1 | $13.11 |
| 06-30 12:51 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1119999971 | $32.68 |
| 06-30 12:51 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0179999995 | $32.68 |
| 06-19 15:15 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0669999799 | $2.95 |
| 06-18 20:02 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0139999972 | $5.00 |
| 06-17 21:53 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1189999811 | $5.00 |
| 06-17 18:52 | Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | BUY | 0.75 | $9.99 |
| 06-17 18:51 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | SELL | 0.21 | $3.86 |
| 06-17 18:41 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.4199999832 | $5.00 |
| 06-17 15:09 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1339999798 | $5.00 |
| 06-17 15:00 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $5.00 |