0xa5bad63b77702b3ec47c025ed9890624a90fa608
0xa5bad63b77702b3ec47c025ed9890624a90fa608
- Realised P&L
- $6.92
- Volume
- $103.42
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $7.33
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% in September? · Yes | 0.629 | 0.822 | $1.31 | +$0.31 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.20% in September? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.900 | $1.20 | +$0.20 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? · No | 0.750 | 0.820 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.855 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 28, 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.710 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Trump renames AI by September 30? · No | 0.690 | 0.615 | $0.89 | −$0.11 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · No | 0.760 | 0.585 | $0.77 | −$0.23 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.32at 0.237Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?
- +$2.67at 0.278Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$2.31at 0.308Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $122.50 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$2.31at 0.308Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,250 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$1.61at 0.389SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 05:43 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:42 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 11:49 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% in September? | BUY | 0.6289998138 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 03:14 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 19:06 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.20% in September? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:13 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 18:23 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.6899996964 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 10:14 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 02:12 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $122.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 18:08 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7489998959 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 10:08 | Will Trump say "Mineral" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 02:08 | Will Trump say "Ballroom" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 16:45 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 07:59 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $194 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 23:46 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $220 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |