guessingthis
0xa5b724b519c5c9adf84cb9193db8d90407da9d8d
- Realised P&L
- $-0.50
- Volume
- $773.33
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $15.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration49.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.023 | $7.67 | +$2.67 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.056 | 0.037 | $4.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.011 | $3.83 | −$1.17 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 16:49 | Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.014999997 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 06:17 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.014999997 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 06:17 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.0562499915 | $6.00 |