0xA5A81c5131e3E3eA87c8adf922aC5999Fba5bDB5-1781126040817
0xa5a81c5131e3e3ea87c8adf922ac5999fba5bdb5
- Realised P&L
- $-33.0k
- Volume
- $118.8k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $7.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-27.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)91.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.969 | 0.947 | $3.9k | −$93.24 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.765 | 0.987 | $2.1k | +$465.32 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.951 | $1.1k | +$23.96 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No | 0.920 | 0.956 | $117.42 | +$4.42 |
| Will Türkiye be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? · No | 0.858 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$800.00 |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France | 0.517 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will France vs. Spain end in a draw? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$338.58at 0.746Spread: Germany (-2.5)
- +$218.04at 0.920Exact Score: Any Other Score?
- +$100.09at 0.834Will Japan be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?
- +$96.20at 0.912Will France win on 2026-06-22?
- +$90.85at 0.963France vs. England: O/U 0.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 07:54 | Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9699999994 | $1.6k |
| 10-29 07:51 | Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.969 | $1.9k |
| 10-29 07:51 | Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.968 | $276.85 |
| 10-29 07:51 | Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.967 | $29.01 |
| 10-29 07:51 | Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.965 | $38.60 |
| 10-29 07:50 | Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.964 | $149.42 |
| 10-25 18:06 | Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9199999997 | $113.00 |
| 10-25 17:26 | Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.93 | $987.00 |
| 10-25 17:25 | Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9299999997 | $100.00 |
| 07-18 22:50 | France vs. England: Team to Win | SELL | 0.0262100013 | $1.3k |
| 07-18 22:50 | France vs. England: Team to Win | SELL | 0.03047274 | $15.24 |
| 07-18 22:48 | France vs. England: Team to Win | SELL | 0.077 | $23.10 |
| 07-18 22:48 | France vs. England: Team to Win | SELL | 0.081 | $12.15 |
| 07-18 22:47 | France vs. England: Team to Win | SELL | 0.108 | $16.20 |
| 07-18 22:45 | France vs. England: Team to Win | SELL | 0.295 | $14.75 |