x17BACA
0xa595ebb8384bad8299d06708bfd6290d2157cdf1
- Realised P&L
- $-961.90
- Volume
- $95.8k
- Markets traded
- 1,745
- Open portfolio
- $0.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,745
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on September 17? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.065 | $0.87 | −$3.13 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 17? · Yes | 0.695 | 0.005 | $0.08 | −$10.48 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 17? · Yes | 0.868 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$10.44 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$91.42at 0.404Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 24?
- +$83.89at 0.418Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 6?
- +$66.90at 0.513Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 8?
- +$59.64at 0.519Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 5?
- +$58.92at 0.493Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 06:30 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.9199999718 | $10.45 |
| 09-17 06:29 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.8684127556 | $10.45 |
| 09-17 06:00 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.299999985 | $4.00 |
| 09-17 04:29 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.6947368421 | $10.56 |
| 09-16 18:52 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $4.40 |
| 09-16 14:55 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $0.22 |
| 09-16 11:21 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.6299999909 | $9.68 |
| 09-16 10:29 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.6503544812 | $7.70 |
| 09-16 08:59 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.94 | $0.21 |
| 09-16 08:53 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.6599999811 | $7.70 |
| 09-16 04:59 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.693693661 | $4.40 |
| 09-16 03:59 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.5599999898 | $4.40 |
| 09-15 22:52 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on September 15? | BUY | 0.6099999792 | $4.40 |
| 09-15 22:52 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 15? | BUY | 0.9401040883 | $4.75 |
| 09-15 21:02 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.8999999621 | $4.75 |