Sis123
0xa5942a40beae9260a38b7320c0af83360166cc22
- Realised P&L
- $-0.91
- Volume
- $118.5k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $5.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)79.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? · No | 0.990 | 0.993 | $5.55 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.16at 0.969Hamas leadership out of Qatar before Trump in office?
- +$0.08at 0.964Bank of England rate cut in March meeting?
- +$0.05at 0.987U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?
- +$0.04at 0.980Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of December 8 above $245?
- +$0.04at 0.983Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in February 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 03:41 | Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.54 |
| 09-10 03:41 | Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.968 | $2.04 |
| 08-04 05:16 | Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9859999943 | $2.09 |
| 08-04 05:16 | Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.976 | $1.21 |
| 07-23 14:22 | Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9579993077 | $1.19 |
| 06-08 15:36 | U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY | 0.9869999994 | $3.56 |
| 06-08 15:36 | Sam Altman in jail by June 30? | SELL | 0.988 | $1.63 |
| 05-20 03:26 | Sam Altman in jail by June 30? | BUY | 0.9909999952 | $1.64 |
| 05-10 08:43 | Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election? | SELL | 0.344 | $0.81 |
| 04-02 09:17 | Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election? | BUY | 0.9819999974 | $2.31 |
| 04-02 08:39 | Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam? | SELL | 0.966 | $2.31 |
| 03-17 10:32 | Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam? | BUY | 0.9649999937 | $2.31 |
| 03-14 06:34 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 16? | BUY | 0.99 | $2.29 |
| 02-23 15:20 | Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in February 2026? | BUY | 0.9829997684 | $2.25 |
| 02-23 15:19 | Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | SELL | 0.995 | $2.25 |