mieklove
0xa5921495967d5f1f4a67d29d5b7ec7a10acf75f4
- Realised P&L
- $21.14
- Volume
- $13.9k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $10.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on November 2? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $10.00 | +$0.00 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.79at 0.998US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?
- +$2.55at 0.992Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on April 17?
- +$2.26at 0.997Will XRP reach $1.60 April 13-19?
- +$1.68at 0.994Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 20?
- +$1.49at 0.999US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 15:48 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 22:59 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C or below on October 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.00 |
| 08-26 17:27 | Will Solana reach $110 on August 26? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 08-26 17:27 | Will XRP dip to $1.20 on August 26? | BUY | 0.998 | $17.00 |
| 05-16 17:38 | Will Justin Rose win the 2026 PGA Championship? | BUY | 0.996 | $10.00 |
| 04-25 16:31 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.4k |
| 04-25 00:10 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.9989273853 | $1.4k |
| 04-24 08:27 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $489.57 |
| 04-24 08:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $899.87 |
| 04-23 08:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $972.20 |
| 04-23 08:55 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on April 23? | BUY | 0.9989999986 | $415.94 |
| 04-22 23:45 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 on April 22? | BUY | 0.996847914 | $348.14 |
| 04-22 23:45 | Will Solana reach $95 on April 22? | BUY | 0.9988843082 | $499.92 |
| 04-22 23:45 | Will Solana reach $100 on April 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $180.97 |
| 04-22 23:44 | Will XRP reach $1.55 on April 22? | BUY | 0.9989999982 | $356.95 |