0xa58d7a77e5832c4f1ce9af27671575026809fa7c
0xa58d7a77e5832c4f1ce9af27671575026809fa7c
- Realised P&L
- $1.63
- Volume
- $240.77
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $3.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30? · No | 0.790 | 0.848 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.210 | 0.220 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.415 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.700 | 0.430 | $0.61 | −$0.39 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.56at 0.217Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $174 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$3.13at 0.329Will Trump say "Nuclear" during remarks at NASA?
- +$2.85at 0.349Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$2.73at 0.359Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $172.50 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$2.65at 0.360Will Iran target an Arab country by August 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 04:33 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 19:42 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 11:36 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.69999972 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:46 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 07:33 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 22:15 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 13:53 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 05:11 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:06 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 22:13 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:49 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 03:48 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $65 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 19:32 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 22:31 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $205 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999538 | $1.49 |
| 09-23 14:30 | Will BlackBerry say "Nvidia" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.719999884 | $1.49 |