VBBFED34
0xa585f97a92112f043a3dc1416dc6e1555eca4b94
- Realised P&L
- $-76.92
- Volume
- $79.1k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $27.75
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration49.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.002 | $27.75 | −$120.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.29at 0.009Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$9.00at 0.910Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 1-7?
- +$2.10at 0.979Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 1?
- +$1.62at 0.973Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?
- +$0.66at 0.939Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 December 1-7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-26 01:48 | Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.008 | $132.90 |
| 02-22 13:18 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.009 | $119.57 |
| 02-22 13:17 | Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.987 | $119.06 |
| 01-14 02:10 | Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.989 | $119.31 |
| 01-08 07:43 | Will XRP dip to $1.50 January 5-11? | BUY | 0.999 | $39.00 |
| 01-08 07:43 | Will XRP dip to $1.40 January 5-11? | BUY | 0.999 | $80.00 |
| 01-07 06:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $59.08 |
| 01-07 06:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $60.00 |
| 12-08 07:29 | Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31? | BUY | 0.9729999989 | $58.40 |
| 12-08 07:28 | Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31? | BUY | 0.998999984 | $59.00 |
| 12-02 00:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 December 1-7? | BUY | 0.939 | $10.10 |
| 12-01 05:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 1? | BUY | 0.979 | $97.90 |