PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

VBBFED34

0xa585f97a92112f043a3dc1416dc6e1555eca4b94

Realised P&L
$-76.92
Volume
$79.1k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$27.75

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration49.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0080.002$27.75$120.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-26 01:48Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.008$132.90
02-22 13:18Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.009$119.57
02-22 13:17Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.987$119.06
01-14 02:10Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.989$119.31
01-08 07:43Will XRP dip to $1.50 January 5-11?BUY0.999$39.00
01-08 07:43Will XRP dip to $1.40 January 5-11?BUY0.999$80.00
01-07 06:19Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 7?BUY0.999$59.08
01-07 06:18Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 7?BUY0.999$60.00
12-08 07:29Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?BUY0.9729999989$58.40
12-08 07:28Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?BUY0.998999984$59.00
12-02 00:14Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 December 1-7?BUY0.939$10.10
12-01 05:52Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 1?BUY0.979$97.90