0xA58051c75F01D2B078229605B501Bd998C3C184C-1759432346685
0xa58051c75f01d2b078229605b501bd998c3c184c
- Realised P&L
- $70.98
- Volume
- $12.7k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $45.54
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration36.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by March 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.503 | 0.345 | $45.54 | −$20.86 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET · Down | 0.354 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.50 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $114,000 October 6-12? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1PM ET · Up | 0.035 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.94at 0.122Will the price of Bitcoin be above $124,000 on October 6?
- +$32.04at 0.300Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
- +$15.00at 0.600Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
- +$9.08at 0.246Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12PM ET
- +$2.50at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 15:54 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.47 | $4.70 |
| 10-08 15:20 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.5 | $21.50 |
| 10-05 08:31 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6477777778 | $58.30 |
| 10-05 07:13 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999988 | $60.00 |
| 01-10 14:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET | BUY | 0.35 | $3.41 |
| 10-10 22:48 | Will Bitcoin dip to $114,000 October 6-12? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 10-07 17:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 17:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1PM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 17:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1PM ET | BUY | 0.1699999609 | $3.00 |
| 10-07 17:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $12.08 |
| 10-07 16:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.2459016393 | $3.00 |
| 10-06 20:36 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 4PM ET | BUY | 0.11 | $2.20 |
| 10-06 07:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $124,000 on October 6? | SELL | 0.467 | $45.94 |
| 10-03 06:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $124,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.1219834631 | $12.00 |
| 10-02 20:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on October 3? | SELL | 0.371 | $36.62 |