PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xA58051c75F01D2B078229605B501Bd998C3C184C-1759432346685

0xa58051c75f01d2b078229605b501bd998c3c184c

Realised P&L
$70.98
Volume
$12.7k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$45.54

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration36.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.5030.345$45.54−$20.86
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET · Down0.3540.000$0.00−$3.50
Will Bitcoin dip to $114,000 October 6-12? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1PM ET · Up0.0350.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 15:54Will Bitcoin hit $100k by March 31, 2027?BUY0.47$4.70
10-08 15:20Will Bitcoin hit $100k by March 31, 2027?BUY0.5$21.50
10-05 08:31Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6477777778$58.30
10-05 07:13Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3499999988$60.00
01-10 14:45Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETBUY0.35$3.41
10-10 22:48Will Bitcoin dip to $114,000 October 6-12?BUY0.001$10.00
10-07 17:53Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1PM ETBUY0.01$1.00
10-07 17:51Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1PM ETBUY0.04$1.00
10-07 17:49Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1PM ETBUY0.1699999609$3.00
10-07 17:01Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12PM ETSELL0.99$12.08
10-07 16:47Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12PM ETBUY0.2459016393$3.00
10-06 20:36Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 4PM ETBUY0.11$2.20
10-06 07:07Will the price of Bitcoin be above $124,000 on October 6?SELL0.467$45.94
10-03 06:43Will the price of Bitcoin be above $124,000 on October 6?BUY0.1219834631$12.00
10-02 20:27Will the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on October 3?SELL0.371$36.62