mumu6685
0xa57835d3c60618154eff053df48a796d80e9f1d4
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $11.3k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $61.20
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-18.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration59.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.555 | $36.67 | −$0.33 |
| Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? · Yes | 0.215 | 0.045 | $12.50 | −$47.30 |
| Will Variational launch a token by November 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.224 | 0.135 | $12.04 | −$7.96 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$800.00 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.165 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.2k |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 13:36 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5599999906 | $19.00 |
| 10-21 13:34 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5599999888 | $18.00 |
| 10-21 13:30 | Will Variational launch a token by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999981 | $10.00 |
| 10-21 13:20 | Will Variational launch a token by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.210518254 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 08:59 | Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.215321263 | $59.80 |
| 09-15 02:20 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1299999972 | $5.60 |
| 09-15 02:20 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.13 | $513.48 |
| 09-12 06:51 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.209999997 | $6.21 |
| 09-12 06:50 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2099999999 | $636.53 |
| 09-12 06:50 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.21 | $800.00 |