Krang
0xa577070d91f0fa2ebe8ed98b04bfef8c6af091e3
- Realised P&L
- $-5.4k
- Volume
- $1.17M
- Markets traded
- 173
- Open portfolio
- $17.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded173
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.416 | 0.270 | $11.5k | −$6.2k |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.355 | 0.265 | $3.9k | −$1.3k |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · No | 0.423 | 0.275 | $2.0k | −$1.1k |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.215 | $358.33 | −$191.66 |
| Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference? · Yes | 0.317 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$800.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.6kat 0.360England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$8.7kat 0.222US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$6.7kat 0.377Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$6.4kat 0.161Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?
- +$5.9kat 0.333Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 01:59 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.46 | $15.75 |
| 10-28 01:59 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.265804894 | $8.5k |
| 10-27 22:21 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5010866643 | $502.00 |
| 10-27 22:12 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4949999996 | $500.00 |
| 10-27 22:03 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.531676573 | $500.00 |
| 10-27 21:59 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4949737788 | $2.5k |
| 10-27 21:58 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.33 | $4.3k |
| 10-27 21:52 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4739999943 | $30.00 |
| 10-27 21:40 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4631494713 | $11.0k |
| 10-27 21:24 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.2929192503 | $4.8k |
| 10-27 21:22 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.3946788095 | $6.2k |
| 10-27 15:51 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.6653395538 | $500.00 |
| 10-27 01:33 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.729999986 | $25.00 |
| 10-15 16:49 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4974698955 | $100.00 |
| 10-15 01:19 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $100.00 |