Mitkk
0xa5756bfbebe192afcade604c80a3a6a6a000ca57
- Realised P&L
- $3.3k
- Volume
- $52.9k
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $3.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration87.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.998 | $3.7k | +$656.51 |
| Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be less than 25%? · No | 0.612 | 0.999 | $81.65 | +$31.65 |
| Will Andrey Gyurov win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by at least 12%? · Yes | 0.097 | 0.001 | $0.05 | −$4.95 |
| Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%? · Yes | 0.275 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$600.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.6kat 0.039Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?
- +$2.3kat 0.079Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the 2026 Bulgarian Parliamentary election by at least 20%?
- +$223.87at 0.806Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 24% or more?
- +$166.93at 0.718Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
- +$55.11at 0.848Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:21 | Will Iliana Iotova win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by 8–12%? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.10 |
| 11-01 20:20 | Will Iliana Iotova win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by 4–8%? | SELL | 0.0047810062 | $0.25 |
| 11-01 17:27 | Will Iliana Iotova win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by less than 4%? | SELL | 0.151700468 | $7.78 |
| 11-01 16:54 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8399999997 | $110.00 |
| 11-01 16:53 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8399999996 | $1000.00 |
| 11-01 16:52 | Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 24% or more? | SELL | 0.9550237034 | $1.1k |
| 11-01 16:02 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.839999958 | $16.00 |
| 11-01 15:55 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8376731278 | $180.00 |
| 11-01 15:54 | Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 24% or more? | SELL | 0.97527945 | $195.06 |
| 11-01 15:53 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8299999993 | $105.00 |
| 11-01 15:53 | Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 24% or more? | SELL | 0.9806590909 | $107.87 |
| 11-01 13:00 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7799999978 | $14.00 |
| 11-01 12:58 | Will Andrey Gyurov win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by 8–12%? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.21 |
| 11-01 12:58 | Will Andrey Gyurov win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by 4–8%? | SELL | 0.014674337 | $0.75 |
| 11-01 12:58 | Will Andrey Gyurov win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by less than 4%? | SELL | 0.08 | $4.10 |