BEBEBOBEE
0xa56d98a38f15911d97dec9ec0cf2f4ecc28c82e7
- Realised P&L
- $-6.3k
- Volume
- $1.73M
- Markets traded
- 446
- Open portfolio
- $44.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded446
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.500 | 1.000 | $28.91 | +$14.45 |
| Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.041 | $15.69 | −$72.33 |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$14.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.4kat 0.574Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
- +$2.1kat 0.444Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?
- +$1.0kat 0.310Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?
- +$953.31at 0.710Will Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?
- +$750.00at 0.500NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down - October 15
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-15 15:49 | Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $68.00 |
| 08-09 08:07 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.30 |
| 08-09 06:07 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.71 | $3.55 |
| 08-09 05:49 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $3.65 |
| 08-09 05:49 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.36 |
| 08-09 05:16 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 08-09 04:38 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | SELL | 0.78 | $3.90 |
| 08-09 04:27 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $1.35 |
| 08-09 04:26 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | SELL | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 07-23 12:31 | Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 1.5T yuan? | BUY | 0.92 | $791.20 |
| 07-23 12:15 | Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2T yuan? | BUY | 0.83 | $693.10 |
| 06-16 05:55 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.939 | $12.6k |
| 06-05 05:30 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker? | BUY | 0.994 | $6.09 |
| 05-14 06:28 | Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week? | BUY | 0.987 | $29.61 |
| 04-12 16:47 | Nuggets vs. Spurs | SELL | 0.81 | $8.1k |