0xA569509464cD783c696Fa7cb8b05A1912efE3B5e-1733252533705
0xa569509464cd783c696fa7cb8b05a1912efe3b5e
- Realised P&L
- $-105.43
- Volume
- $6.6k
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $19.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 21? · Yes | 0.997 | 1.000 | $19.15 | +$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.17at 0.994Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
- +$0.17at 0.995Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2025?
- +$0.13at 0.994Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 17?
- +$0.12at 0.996Will Elon tweet 700-724 times March 7-14?
- +$0.12at 0.994Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 07:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 21? | BUY | 0.9967390714 | $19.10 |
| 10-18 09:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.9959999976 | $30.00 |
| 10-16 15:26 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.9959999792 | $25.80 |
| 10-12 01:18 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.9988334957 | $30.00 |
| 10-08 11:52 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $12.00 |
| 10-06 08:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.998 | $15.10 |
| 10-05 11:02 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 5? | BUY | 0.994756554 | $12.00 |
| 10-03 16:45 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%? | BUY | 0.998 | $15.50 |
| 09-30 03:12 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in September? | BUY | 0.99837539 | $16.00 |
| 09-28 13:41 | Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $24.00 |
| 09-27 17:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.9979999738 | $23.30 |
| 09-22 20:22 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $18.00 |
| 09-22 19:55 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $21.50 |
| 09-21 03:54 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $12.00 |
| 09-20 08:23 | Will Ethereum reach $2,900 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.9949999924 | $15.00 |