philippe4stroke
0xa567915595f85470b251f06dfe8ee9c4eba651d7
- Realised P&L
- $31.53
- Volume
- $1.0k
- Markets traded
- 150
- Open portfolio
- $15.41
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded150
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston · New Mexico State | 0.580 | 0.565 | $4.87 | −$0.13 |
| South Alabama vs. Marshall · South Alabama | 0.590 | 0.545 | $4.62 | −$0.38 |
| UMass vs. UConn · UConn | 0.860 | 0.855 | $1.99 | −$0.01 |
| Army vs. Tulsa · Tulsa | 0.540 | 0.535 | $1.98 | −$0.02 |
| East Carolina vs. Memphis · East Carolina | 0.220 | 0.225 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.185 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10AM ET · Down | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.40 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 30, 6AM ET · Up | 0.850 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.50 |
| Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Juventus FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET · Up | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Hurricanes vs. Flames · Hurricanes | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 7AM ET · Up | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.60 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10AM ET · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.50 |
| Bitcoin above $118,000 on July 30? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.70 |
| Santa Cruz 2: Franco Roncadelli vs Juan Carlos Prado · Juan Carlos Prado | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.70at 0.130Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 1PM ET
- +$8.15at 0.525Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 7AM ET
- +$8.07at 0.701Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2AM ET
- +$6.80at 0.660Will the price of Bitcoin be between $107K and $108K on July 5 at 5PM ET?
- +$5.03at 0.507Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 00:42 | Army vs. Tulsa | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $2.00 |
| 10-20 00:42 | UMass vs. UConn | BUY | 0.8599999656 | $2.00 |
| 10-20 00:41 | East Carolina vs. Memphis | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 00:41 | New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $5.00 |
| 10-20 00:41 | South Alabama vs. Marshall | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $5.00 |
| 10-20 00:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $5.62 |
| 10-20 00:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | BUY | 0.8799999859 | $5.00 |
| 10-19 10:15 | Counter-Strike: Alliance vs TheMongolz (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2 Playoffs | BUY | 0.8699999983 | $5.00 |
| 10-19 10:14 | Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.7099999702 | $5.00 |
| 10-19 10:12 | Chiba Jets vs. Tokyo Sunrockers | BUY | 0.4899999984 | $3.00 |
| 10-19 10:11 | Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Aleksandar Vukic | BUY | 0.9399999962 | $5.00 |
| 10-19 10:11 | Counter-Strike: Alliance vs TheMongolz (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2 Playoffs | BUY | 0.8599999243 | $5.00 |
| 10-19 10:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | BUY | 0.4599999669 | $5.00 |
| 10-19 00:02 | Cricket World Cup League 2: Oman vs Nepal | BUY | 0.6799999547 | $3.00 |
| 10-19 00:01 | Japan Women's Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Kaitlin Quevedo | BUY | 0.6199999587 | $3.00 |