taxchange
0xa565639fa7051914aa34f7dd152a05595c94c4a1
- Realised P&L
- $-202.83
- Volume
- $7.1k
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $50.73
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$151.16at 0.066Will "The Housemaid" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?
- +$37.30at 0.880Will Union Party be part of the next Government of Denmark?
- +$14.60at 0.935Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 13 be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000?
- +$13.43at 0.907CSUN Matadors vs. Stanford Cardinal
- +$11.29at 0.800Will Solana reach $210 in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-12 08:39 | Will Xtreme Gaming Win The International 2026? | BUY | 0.9629999856 | $1.00 |
| 08-12 08:38 | Will Xtreme Gaming Win The International 2026? | BUY | 0.9629999856 | $1.00 |
| 07-07 08:28 | US Mondorf-les-Bains vs. SK Dinamo Tbilisi: SK Dinamo Tbilisi 1st Half O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.63 | $12.60 |
| 03-12 04:30 | Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $400-$410 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20? | BUY | 0.2 | $56.25 |
| 03-11 03:57 | Hamarkameratene vs. Viking FK: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.2 | $56.25 |
| 03-08 09:57 | Will Meta (META) finish week of March 9 above $680? | BUY | 0.12 | $30.68 |
| 03-02 07:22 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of March 2 above $130? | BUY | 0.027 | $6.93 |
| 02-21 09:40 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on February 23? | BUY | 0.043 | $7.38 |
| 02-19 14:23 | Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.9866755697 | $168.01 |
| 02-17 14:59 | Will Amazon (AMZN) close at <$175 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20? | BUY | 0.015 | $1.97 |
| 02-16 00:32 | Will Rob Ruszkowski win the GA-14 special election? | BUY | 0.02 | $2.26 |
| 02-13 13:28 | Will the price of Solana be above $60 on February 15? | BUY | 0.027 | $4.51 |
| 02-12 21:34 | Will Manchester City FC vs. Salford City FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.038 | $7.55 |
| 02-12 05:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on February 15? | BUY | 0.127 | $27.13 |
| 02-11 20:26 | Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,600 on February 15? | BUY | 0.022 | $5.22 |