murenias
0xa564242d36d2fbb900deaaadf5c971e4a0d1e542
- Realised P&L
- $-446.86
- Volume
- $50.7k
- Markets traded
- 298
- Open portfolio
- $345.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded298
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$212.68at 0.291Will Google reach $375 in April?
- +$44.81at 0.868Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
- +$39.82at 0.875100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by March 31?
- +$38.24at 0.890Will MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1?
- +$25.43at 0.930Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:57 | Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.96 | $15.00 |
| 11-01 21:10 | Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.96 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 21:09 | Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.96 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 20:55 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.99 | $30.00 |
| 11-01 15:15 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.9 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 11:59 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $37.19 |
| 11-01 10:47 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 60 million views on day 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $100.91 |
| 10-31 22:29 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.9399999995 | $35.00 |
| 10-31 22:06 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 60 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.99 | $100.00 |
| 10-31 22:00 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 110 and 120 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.85 | $25.00 |
| 10-31 22:00 | Will MrBeast's next video get at least 120 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.8499999985 | $28.00 |
| 10-30 10:46 | Cambria FDV above $70M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.99 | $50.00 |
| 10-30 10:46 | Cambria FDV above $40M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9699999996 | $50.00 |
| 10-29 16:17 | Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9197976432 | $30.00 |
| 10-28 21:27 | Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8799999988 | $30.00 |