PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

murenias

0xa564242d36d2fbb900deaaadf5c971e4a0d1e542

Realised P&L
$-446.86
Volume
$50.7k
Markets traded
298
Open portfolio
$345.24

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded298
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 21:57Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1?BUY0.96$15.00
11-01 21:10Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1?BUY0.96$50.00
11-01 21:09Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1?BUY0.96$50.00
11-01 20:55Will MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1?BUY0.99$30.00
11-01 15:15Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?BUY0.9$5.00
11-01 11:59Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?SELL0.999$37.19
11-01 10:47Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 60 million views on day 1?SELL0.999$100.91
10-31 22:29Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?BUY0.9399999995$35.00
10-31 22:06Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 60 million views on day 1?BUY0.99$100.00
10-31 22:00Will MrBeast's next video get between 110 and 120 million views on week 1?BUY0.85$25.00
10-31 22:00Will MrBeast's next video get at least 120 million views on week 1?BUY0.8499999985$28.00
10-30 10:46Cambria FDV above $70M one day after launch?BUY0.99$50.00
10-30 10:46Cambria FDV above $40M one day after launch?BUY0.9699999996$50.00
10-29 16:17Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?BUY0.9197976432$30.00
10-28 21:27Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?BUY0.8799999988$30.00