muskmeta
0xa55c1d1ded9f663e18ee16211155d059deb4a019
- Realised P&L
- $-319.98
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $26.10
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-25.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.066 | $13.20 | −$20.80 |
| Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.215 | $12.90 | −$36.90 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? · Yes | 0.432 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$176.09 |
| Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.02at 0.880Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-09 19:23 | Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? | BUY | 0.23 | $46.00 |
| 01-09 10:31 | Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? | SELL | 0.24 | $45.60 |
| 01-03 11:46 | Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.89 | $1.36 |
| 12-21 19:32 | Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.88 | $48.40 |
| 12-21 07:50 | Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.88 | $49.75 |
| 12-19 14:59 | Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? | BUY | 0.7 | $49.00 |
| 12-10 08:51 | Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025? | BUY | 0.12 | $12.00 |
| 12-10 08:23 | Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? | BUY | 0.6099999997 | $200.00 |