0xa55466a46252072264b4f61d5663a3e179f1fa59
- Realised P&L
- $2.27
- Volume
- $45.07
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $1.11
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration93.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? · No | 0.800 | 0.885 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.95at 0.752Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$0.30at 0.773Will FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade win on 2026-09-13?
- +$-0.12at 0.520Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
- +$-0.19at 0.630Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?
- +$-0.84at 0.640Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 14:16 | Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 18:42 | Will FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 02-28 23:52 | Will US or Israel strike Iran first? | SELL | 0.37 | $1.15 |
| 02-25 23:20 | Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.6 | $3.80 |
| 02-25 23:16 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 02-25 23:11 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5199999861 | $3.00 |
| 02-25 19:55 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.7491908738 | $10.00 |
| 02-25 16:14 | Will Turkey qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 02-25 16:04 | Will US or Israel strike Iran first? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.00 |
| 02-25 16:00 | Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999764 | $4.00 |