PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xA54a4FdB8FdDf3b5b3cF0BFf4131268d199eFb00-1764830068960

0xa54a4fdb8fddf3b5b3cf0bff4131268d199efb00

Realised P&L
$-55.70
Volume
$29.2k
Markets traded
117
Open portfolio
$180.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded117
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2390.180$180.13$58.83
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0050.005$0.15+$0.00
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? · Yes0.0200.001$0.01$0.51
Will Sol Vega win Big Brother Brasil 26? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.71
Will Maxiane Rodrigues win Big Brother Brasil 26? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.00
Will Bruno Fernandes be the player with the most assists in the 2025–26 English Premier League season? · No0.1330.000$0.00$2.12
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5 · Under0.5000.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-10 20:51Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?BUY0.995$99.50
06-10 20:50Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?BUY0.995$99.50
06-07 19:30Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5BUY0.5$5.00
06-03 22:19Will SpaceX fail to complete an initial public offering by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?BUY0.995$199.00
06-01 22:45Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?BUY0.28$42.52
06-01 16:41Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?BUY0.952$23.80
05-27 20:03Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $540 in May?BUY0.991$49.55
05-26 22:25SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?BUY0.975$19.50
05-26 22:23SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?BUY0.973$19.46
04-29 12:07Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $340 end of April?BUY0.99$7.42
04-17 22:02Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?BUY0.943$6.85
04-17 10:32Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?SELL0.001$0.18
04-17 10:32Will Chris Holder be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?SELL0.001$0.55
04-17 10:31Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.006$1.92
04-17 10:31Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?SELL0.0212967066$4.27